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July was the hottest month on record, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration says.
NOAA predicts 2015 could be the hottest year on record
(CNN)If you felt the heat this past July, you are hardly alone.
July saw the highest average temperatures since record-keeping began -- globally, not just in the United States -- the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration reported Thursday.
Globally, the first seven months of the year also had all-time highs. The latest global temperature data make it likely that 2015 will be the hottest year on record, the agency said.
NOAA's findings follow reports by NASA and the Japan Meteorological Agency, which reached the same conclusion using their own data.
Hurricane Danny forms
Data from NOAA dates back to 1880, but it is possible that July was the hottest month in at least 4,000 years. Climate research suggests these are the hottest temperatures the Earth has seen since the Bronze Age.
The prediction for 2015 becoming the hottest year on record is based on observed temperatures so far, plus the coming El Niño event.
NOAA predicts that a strong El Niño is building, one that could rival the intensity of the record 1997 event that influenced weather-related havoc across the globe, from mudslides in California to fires in Australia.
"There is a greater than 90% chance that El Niño will continue through Northern Hemisphere winter 2015-16, and around an 85% chance it will last into early spring 2016," NOAA said in a statement.
The temperatures
What made July the hottest month on record?
According to NOAA, the average global temperatures in July were 1.46 degrees Fahrenheit warmer than the 20th Century average. This measurement includes land and ocean temperatures.
Breaking it down, the land temperature globally was 1.73 degrees Fahrenheit higher than average, making it the sixth warmest July on land. On the water, ocean temperatures were 1.35 degrees Fahrenheit higher, making it the warmest monthly ocean temperature on record.
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Wait til the deniers read this.
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Wait til the deniers read this. - flowergirl
1. They won't, or ..............
2. Even if they did, they'd call it 'junk science', or tell you the earth has been heating and cooling for years, ignoring or not understanding that in geologic time, climate changes occuring over a couple hundred years is equivalent to the blink of an eye and can be quite devastating ecologically.
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On the micro scale (southern York County, PA) this July was not the warmest in my 20+ years of daily weather observations (high/low tempertature, rain, and snow) taken from the same location.
July of 2015 had an average temperature of 73.1 which was actually 0.1 degree subnormal to the 20 year July average of 73.22 and definitely lower than the record high (both for the month and for the highest of all months) of 76.5 recorded in 2011.
In case you're curious, the lowest July average was 69.3 set in 2000.
So far August is trending slightly above average. May was way above average and established a new record; the first record high set since March of 2012. In between there were several new record lows established including the coldest month ever over 20 years this past February which averaged.
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Shows that regional data can be dissimilar to global data.
I have seen global climate models that show the northeastern US getting cooler and wetter as the globe gets warmer.
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Goose wrote:
I have seen global climate models that show the northeastern US getting cooler and wetter as the globe gets warmer.
February through May of this year were all subnormal for precip--severely subnormal, in fact. June and July were well above normal; June was nearly record setting. August is shaping up to be subnormal and might even challenge the record dry of 1.65 inches set in 1995.
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Interesting observations.
Remember, climate is long term trends.