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The Democrats’ First 100 Days
Let's reverse angle. The president's first 100 days in office have been analyzed, dissected, evaluated. Not much left to say about them. What about the opposition? What do the Democrats have to show for these first months of the Trump era?Little. Trump's defeats have not come at the Democrats' hands. Those setbacks have been self-inflicted (over-the-top tweets, hastily written policies, few sub-cabinet nominations) or have come from the judiciary (the travel ban, the sanctuary cities order) or from Republican infighting (health care). Deregulation, Keystone pipeline, immigration enforcement—Democrats have been powerless to stop them.
Chuck Schumer slow-walked Trump's nominations as best he could. In fact his obstruction was unprecedented. But the cabinet is filling up, the national security team in place. On the Supreme Court, Schumer miscalculated royally. He forced an end to the filibuster for judicial appointments, yet lost anyway. If another appointment opens this summer, and the Republicans hold together, the Democrats will have zero ability to prevent the Court from moving right. No matter what he says in public, Schumer can't possibly think that a success.
The prevalent anti-Trump sentiment obscures the party's institutional degradation. Democratic voters despise the president—he enjoys the approval of barely more than 10 percent of them—and this anger and vitriol manifests itself in our media and culture. So Rachel Maddow and Stephen Colbert enjoy a ratings boom, the women's march attracts a massive crowd, the New York Times sells more subscriptions, and Bill Nye leads a rainy-day "march for science." The desire to ostentatiously "resist" Trump leads to better-than-expected results for Democratic candidates in congressional special elections. But the candidates don't win—or at least they haven't yet.
Democrats feel betrayed. The Electoral College betrayed them by making Trump president. Hillary Clinton betrayed them by running an uninspiring campaign. James Comey betrayed them by reopening the investigation into Clinton's server 11 days before the election. Facebook betrayed them by circulating fake news. This sense of resentment isn't so different than the sort Democrats attribute to Trump supporters: irritation at a loss of status, vexation at changed circumstances. The despondence of a liberal is alleviated when he sees throngs of protesters, hears Samantha Bee, scrolls through Louise Mensch's tweets.Makes him feel better. But his party is in tatters, reduced to 16 governors, 30 state legislative chambers, a historically low number of state legislative seats, 193 members of the House, 46 senators.
The Democrats are leaderless, rudderless, held together only by opposition to Trump. The most popular figure on the left refuses to call himself a Democrat while sitting alongside the newly elected chairman of the Democratic National Committee. That chairman, dirty-talking Tom Perez, represents a professional, technocratic class that supports Wall Street and globalization as long as there is room for multiculturalism and social liberalism. That is a different strategy from both the 50-state approach of Howard Dean, Rahm Emanuel, and Schumer that brought Democrats control of Congress in 2006, and the anti-Wall Street, protectionist, single-payer left of Bernie Sanders. Perez fights with Bernie Sanders and Nancy Pelosi over whether there is room for pro-lifers in the party—Perez thinks not. Pelosi enjoys the distinction of being an American political figure less popular than Donald Trump.
What is the Democratic agenda? What does the party have to offer besides disunity, obstruction, incoherence, obsession, and obliviousness? They haven't rallied behind a plan to fix Obamacare or an alternative to the president's tax proposal. They seem dead set against enforcement of immigration laws, they seem opposed to any restrictions on abortion, they seem as eager as ever to regulate firearms and carbon dioxide. It's hard to detect a consensus beyond that. Banks, trade, health care, taxes, free speech, foreign intervention—these issues are undecided, up for grabs.For eight years President Obama supplied the Democratic message, provided the Democrats answers to public questions.
Now Obama himself is under fire for agreeing to deliver a $400,000 speech to Cantor Fitzgerald. He is already a figure of the past: His hair gray, his legacy under siege, his time spent lounging on Richard Branson's yacht or listening desultorily to Chicago undergrads. The energy is with Bernie, with the identity-politics movements, with the paramilitary "antifa" bands, and each one of these overlapping sects are outside the party establishment Obama represents.
That establishment is just as befuddled as its Republican counterpart at the current political scene. "I don't know what's happening in the country," Hillary Clinton is said to have told a friend at some point during the recent campaign.
This apprehension of distance between herself and the everyday lives of her co-nationals is one of the most perceptive observations Clinton has ever made. Her problem was she never figured out the answer, never came to realize that the various guesses she and Obama and other professional Democrats have wagered about "what's happening in the country"—racism, sexism, nativism, gerrymandering, Citizens United, Fox News Channel and talk radio, Russia—are insufficient. What the Democratic Party has yet to understand is that its social and cultural agenda is irrelevant or inimical to the material and spiritual well being of their former constituents. And until the Democrats recognize this fact, their next 100 days will be no better than their first.
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This is a joke, right?
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Talk about a rudderless party. Even with majorities in BOTH houses of Congress they cannot get anything of consequence done. Wait, at least they averted a government shutdown.
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Hey, if I was wearing the R team jersey I'd be desperate to change the subject from ourselves too.
Last edited by Goose (5/01/2017 9:52 am)
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This doesn't make sense. His team is running everything ........ Congress, Executive Branch, and Supreme Court along with the majority of state governorships and legislatures. So where's the beef? What's left?
Is the message that every elected position from school boards to dog catchers to township supervisors to mayors to god-knows-what-else has to be controlled by Republicans or they can't govern? Geez.
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The column is pretty dumb, but the fact remains that I haven't really seen the Democrats take advantage of the opportunity they have in front of them with Trump's painfully low poll numbers and a lack of cohesion between congressional republicans.
In fact, it seems like Democratic activist's biggest concern recently is that theNew York Times put a climate change skeptic on their opinion page.
The Democrats couldn't seal the deal in the Georgia 6th special election.
The national party put almost no money or support into the Kansas 4th district special election, and the Dem in that race still made it somewhat of a contest.
And now,with a special election coming up to fill Montana's at large House seat, the DCCC is absent while the national republican party has thrown in over 2 million dollars to help their candidate. And lest you think Montana is some rock-ribbed red state, they have a Democratic U.S. senator and a Democratic governor.
While national Republicans keep pouring money into Montana's May 25 special election, D.C. Democrats have, for the most part, been staying on the sidelines. The DCCC recently sent $200,000 to the Montana Democratic Party, according to Politico, and says that "it's possible we'll invest more," but so far, the committee has not gone up on TV on behalf of Democrat Rob Quist.
That stands in contrast to the GOP, which has now spent over $2.2 million on attack ads. The latest barrage is a $1 million buy from the NRCC, which is airing a new spot that paints Quist as a Nancy Pelosi lackey who wants to take away guns, force "government-run healthcare" on everyone, and has a history of racking up personal debts. It's strange, because Republicans are treating this like a potentially competitive race while Democrats mostly are not, and since there's been no reliable polling released into the wild, it's hard to say who's right.
And while Common's article is filled with cheap shots, it is true that the Dems most popular candidate (Bernie) doesn't want to be called a Democrat. And it's true that DNC chair and House Dem Leader Pelosi are not on the same page on whether you are welcome in the party if you are pro-life.
My concern is that the Democrats think that they can ride a wave of a combination of anti-Trump rhetoric combined with the Big Orange Doofus tripping all over himself into taking back the House and Senate, they're in for a big shock. If the economy and employment rate is still decent this time next year and we haven't stepped into any major foreign policy blunder, then I think the GOP will be able to hold back most of the wave of a motivated Democratic Party base.
The Democrats need to get back to a 50 state strategy.
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TheLagerLad wrote:
The column is pretty dumb, but the fact remains that I haven't really seen the Democrats take advantage of the opportunity they have in front of them with Trump's painfully low poll numbers and a lack of cohesion between congressional republicans.
In fact, it seems like Democratic activist's biggest concern recently is that theNew York Times put a climate change skeptic on their opinion page.
The Democrats couldn't seal the deal in the Georgia 6th special election.
The national party put almost no money or support into the Kansas 4th district special election, and the Dem in that race still made it somewhat of a contest.
And now,with a special election coming up to fill Montana's at large House seat, the DCCC is absent while the national republican party has thrown in over 2 million dollars to help their candidate. And lest you think Montana is some rock-ribbed red state, they have a Democratic U.S. senator and a Democratic governor.While national Republicans keep pouring money into Montana's May 25 special election, D.C. Democrats have, for the most part, been staying on the sidelines. The DCCC recently sent $200,000 to the Montana Democratic Party, according to Politico, and says that "it's possible we'll invest more," but so far, the committee has not gone up on TV on behalf of Democrat Rob Quist.
That stands in contrast to the GOP, which has now spent over $2.2 million on attack ads. The latest barrage is a $1 million buy from the NRCC, which is airing a new spot that paints Quist as a Nancy Pelosi lackey who wants to take away guns, force "government-run healthcare" on everyone, and has a history of racking up personal debts. It's strange, because Republicans are treating this like a potentially competitive race while Democrats mostly are not, and since there's been no reliable polling released into the wild, it's hard to say who's right.And while Common's article is filled with cheap shots, it is true that the Dems most popular candidate (Bernie) doesn't want to be called a Democrat. And it's true that DNC chair and House Dem Leader Pelosi are not on the same page on whether you are welcome in the party if you are pro-life.
My concern is that the Democrats think that they can ride a wave of a combination of anti-Trump rhetoric combined with the Big Orange Doofus tripping all over himself into taking back the House and Senate, they're in for a big shock. If the economy and employment rate is still decent this time next year and we haven't stepped into any major foreign policy blunder, then I think the GOP will be able to hold back most of the wave of a motivated Democratic Party base.
The Democrats need to get back to a 50 state strategy.
I will add two caveats in the sense that the economy has been relatively good and employment is now fine, but Trump talked about bringing those good jobs back and a lot of people that voted for him long for those "good old days". My guesstimate is most of those jobs are not coming back and a lot will still feel disenfranchised in the next 2 or 4 year election cycle. That could be the factor that has them looking again. Secondly, the younger voter which was predominately a Bernie voter will be maturing and that will play in the mix as well.
Now IF Trump can produce on his promises, then we could be in for another 4 years, but I even there expect him not to really WANT to be POTUS again. That would make him 78 when exiting office. Don't think he wants to live out his remaining years with the grind that he is discovering. He probably is already yearning for the way it used to be.
Last edited by tennyson (5/01/2017 12:28 pm)
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Lager's comments about the state of the democratic party are spot on. Of course, the Beacon article isn't a thoughtful examination of that. It is a rather hamfisted attempt to change the subject from the disastrous first quarter of the new administration. The title of the piece tells you all you need know.
It's not going to work. The American People are not blind. They can see that the Republicans control the White House, The House of Representatives, and the US Senate.
In short, they have the ball. And it is incumbent upon republicans to advance a coherent agenda in Washington. The success or failure will be theirs. A couple of months ago Mitch McConnell was bragging that he'd pass an ACA repeal, and a tax plan without a single Democratic vote.
OK, if that's what you want.
But, if you fail, don't complain that it was because the Democrats stopped you.
That would be like the Falcons complaining that it's the Patriots' fault that they lost.