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1 - TheLagerLad
- Exchange Beer Snob
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- From: Bucks County, PA
- Registered: 1/29/2015
- Posts: 2,055
Confidence Level
As we are just 5 days away from the end of the election, how confident are you, on a scale of 1 to 10, of your preferred candidate for President.
For me:
Thursday Nov. 3
Hillary Clinton - 6
I think you're going to see a lot of different United States of America over the next three, four, or eight years. - President Donald J. Trump
- Goose
- Cogito ergo sum
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Re: Confidence Level
I will say 7.
Down from a 9 a week ago
We live in a time in which decent and otherwise sensible people are surrendering too easily to the hectoring of morons or extremists.
- tennyson
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- Posts: 6,654
Re: Confidence Level
Of Hillary being the better candidate - 10
Of Hillary winning - 7
This has been such a weird Presidential race, I honestly have never seen anything like it from so many different angles.
"Do not confuse motion and progress, A rocking horse keeps moving but does not make any progress"
- TheLagerLad
- Exchange Beer Snob
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- From: Bucks County, PA
- Registered: 1/29/2015
- Posts: 2,055
Re: Confidence Level
Friday November
Hillary - 7
I think you're going to see a lot of different United States of America over the next three, four, or eight years. - President Donald J. Trump
- •
Thread Starter- Goose
- Cogito ergo sum
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Re: Confidence Level
Saturday November 5
Clinton 7.5
Friday's Massachusetts poll, Clinton + 30.
I love these folks,,
We live in a time in which decent and otherwise sensible people are surrendering too easily to the hectoring of morons or extremists.
- Common Sense
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Re: Confidence Level
Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump tied in Colorado, new poll shows
Trump Surging, Now Tied With Clinton In Michigan
UMass Lowell/7NewsSurvey of New Hampshire Voters
#NVElection: 8 News NOW Poll finds Clinton, Trump races tied
/news/nvelection-8-news-now-poll-finds-
clinton-trump-races-tied
Pennsylvania Statewide Poll
With signs of the race trending Trump in the waning days of the campaign, Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are tied in the Keystone state (46-46%
Last edited by Common Sense (11/05/2016 8:32 am)
“We hold these truths to be self-evident,” former vice president Biden said during a campaign event in Texas on Monday. "All men and women created by — you know, you know, the thing.”
- Goose
- Cogito ergo sum
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- Registered: 1/29/2015
- Posts: 13,427
Re: Confidence Level
Common Sense wrote:
Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump tied in Colorado, new poll shows
Trump Surging, Now Tied With Clinton In Michigan
UMass Lowell/7NewsSurvey of New Hampshire Voters
#NVElection: 8 News NOW Poll finds Clinton, Trump races tied
/news/nvelection-8-news-now-poll-finds-
clinton-trump-races-tied
Pennsylvania Statewide Poll
With signs of the race trending Trump in the waning days of the campaign, Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are tied in the Keystone state (46-46%
OK, so as the thread asks,, how confident are you, on a scale of 1 to 10, of your preferred candidate for President ?
We live in a time in which decent and otherwise sensible people are surrendering too easily to the hectoring of morons or extremists.
- Goose
- Cogito ergo sum
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- Registered: 1/29/2015
- Posts: 13,427
Re: Confidence Level
Saturday.
Nate Silver of the Five Thirty-eight has Clinton's chances at 65%.
The NYT has her at 85%.
I'm splitting the difference and going with 7.5.
Lott and Stossel have her at 75%.
Paddy Power Sports bet has her at 75%.
Punxsutawney Phil say he makes only one prediction per year.
So, that's where all of us guessers, amateur and otherwise stand at this hour,,,,,,,,,
We live in a time in which decent and otherwise sensible people are surrendering too easily to the hectoring of morons or extremists.
- tennyson
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- Registered: 2/06/2015
- Posts: 6,654
Re: Confidence Level
Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump tied in Colorado, new poll shows
Trump Surging, Now Tied With Clinton In Michigan
UMass Lowell/7NewsSurvey of New Hampshire Voters
#NVElection: 8 News NOW Poll finds Clinton, Trump races tied
/news/nvelection-8-news-now-poll-finds-
clinton-trump-races-tied
Pennsylvania Statewide Poll
With signs of the race trending Trump in the waning days of the campaign, Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are tied in the Keystone state (46-46%
OK, so as the thread asks,, how confident are you, on a scale of 1 to 10, of your preferred candidate for President ?
Nate Silver last National election predicted the overall winner and also correctly in each state. He uses a weighing system of ALL the polls. I doubt he will repeat the state by state this year, but his polls cover the entire gamut and are easily reviewed state by state along with the Congressional races as well. It is the best site I have seen. If you want laugher reviews of polls go to Breitbart. Here is the Nate Silver site.
"Do not confuse motion and progress, A rocking horse keeps moving but does not make any progress"
- Brady Bunch
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Re: Confidence Level
Neither Trump nor Clinton are my preferred candidate, but I would say Clinton has a 60% chance of winning the election.
If she wins nationally by 3%, I think she squeaks out the electoral college win. If she wins by 2%, I think it is a toss-up for whoever wins the electoral college. A 1% win by her and I think Trump almost certainly wins the electoral college.
There are way more states in play than was anticipated just a couple of weeks ago and while national polls have settled in to a 3 point lead for Clinton, many swing state polls are now very close (PA, FL, NC, NH, CO, NV and even Michigan is down to 4% lead for Clinton).
Either way, whoever wins will not have a mandate and it will be seen as people voting against the horrible candidate that lost.
My confidence level is 8 out of 10 that either one will be impeached because they are both corrupt.