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A new Franklin and Marshall poll has McGinty up by 12 over Toomey.
I won't pretend that I know who is going to win.
But, I'll bet a pint of whatever you're drinking that it won't be by 12 points!
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Agreed. Most polls show McGinty up by about 3 or 4 points. It will be a close race. That people are upset with Congress in general, I will give McGinty the nod in this one.
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Here are all of PA Senate polls going back to October 20th, as perReal Clear Politics
RCP Average -- McGinty +4.0
Franklin & Marshall* -- McGinty +12
Gravis -- McGinty +4
CBS News/YouGov -- McGinty +3
Emerson -- McGinty +2
NY Times/Siena -- McGinty +3
Morning Call -- Tie
If these polls are correct, it's worse for Trump in PA that even I thought it would be.
Let's just say McGinty wins by 3. I think that means Trump loses PA by 9 or 10 points.
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The YDR came out today endorsing Toomey because McGinty is a novice. She got my vote.
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YDR supports Toomey's voting record I guess.
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Just Fred wrote:
YDR supports Toomey's voting record I guess.
I don't think it's that black and white. I like how Will Bunch, who writes the liberal Attytood blog for Philly.com described McGinty in a post a couple of weeks ago.....
Look, McGinty's far from an ideal candidate....... She seems a creation of some underground D.C. lab where elite centrist pro-business Democrats go to create mediocre office seekers.
Now of course if you're align yourself with Democratic priorities, then McGinty represents that half a loaf is better than no loaf.
But for me at least, I get why the YDR, often accused of liberal bias, would pass on McGinty and throw an endorsement Toomey's way.
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I would suggest that one does not cast their vote because of a poll, or a collection of polls, or an endorsement by a party, person, or paper.
It really doesn't take too much time nor effort to look up a candidate's position on issues or past voting record to see how they align with your personal position on those same issues. You're never going to find a candidate that you agree with 100% on all issues, unless you are the candidate, but you can decide which candidate agrees with your point of view most of the time.
After the election, monitor the candidate's action on those issues to see if they maintain those positions. Contact them when you agree and disagree with their actions. Let them know what you think. They work for you. Remember, a representative republic is a participatory sport. If they turn out to be a disappointment, vote them out in the next election cycle. Trust your own perceptions, not somebody else.
Last edited by Rongone (11/01/2016 11:45 am)
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Another sign of desperation by the Toomey campaign:
Obama strikes back at GOP senator who put him in campaign ad
HARRISBURG, Pa. (AP) — President Barack Obama struck back at Republican U.S. Sen. Pat Toomey on Saturday for using footage of the Democrat praising Toomey's courage in a TV campaign ad in his life-or-death re-election bid in Pennsylvania.
In a statement to The Associated Press, Obama said Toomey needed to do more to show courage than taking one right vote on legislation to expand background checks on all firearms purchases online and at gun shows.
"Courage is telling Pennsylvania voters where you stand on the tough issues, not just the easy ones like background checks," Obama said in the statement. "Pat Toomey won't tell Pennsylvania voters where he stands on Donald Trump, trying instead to have it both ways by telling different people what he thinks they want to hear. That's not courage. Voting to shut down the government and against bills to close the terrorist gun loophole isn't courage. And playing politics with the Supreme Court isn't courage."
Obama has endorsed Toomey's opponent, Democrat Katie McGinty, who served in Bill Clinton's White House and was recruited by national Democrats to run against Toomey.
Toomey, who compiled one of Congress' most conservative voting records, is among the Senate's most vulnerable incumbents in a state where Democrats have a 4 to 3 registration advantage over Republicans. The race could help tip control of the Senate to Democrats.
Toomey has been a tough critic of Obama, and opposed practically all of Obama's major policy initiatives, from health care to immigration. He routinely delivers a stump speech that labels Obama's economic and foreign policies as complete failures.
At a campaign event on Saturday, he lambasted the handling of economic policy in Washington, without naming Obama. Toomey told reporters after the event in West Chester, 25 miles west of Philadelphia, that he was not worried that his use of Obama in a TV ad would hurt him with Pennsylvania's Republican voters.
"President Obama stood up publicly and praised my work of reaching across the aisle and trying to get something done on an important issue, which is background checks," Toomey said. "And of course the other side has tried to discredit and deny the work that I did. I think President Obama said it well, so we used his clip, it's his quote, him, it's what he said, in context."
In the 30-second ad, Obama is speaking outside the White House in 2013 and thanks Toomey for his courage, despite the bill's failure.
"That was not easy," Obama said of the work by Toomey and Sen. Joe Manchin, D-W.Va.
It is the latest, and perhaps the most eye-opening, way in which Toomey is working to appeal to moderate voters whose support he will need to beat McGinty. The ad is running on cable in the Philadelphia and Pittsburgh markets.
The vote on the background checks bill cost Toomey endorsements from gun rights groups, including the National Rifle Association, even though Toomey voted more often than not with the NRA. But that vote by Toomey also helped him pick up the endorsements of two prominent gun-control activists, billionaire Michael Bloomberg and former Democratic congresswoman Gabrielle Giffords.