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A poll out today has Trump up 2 (essentially tied) in Florida. As a Hillary supporter I find this disturbing, as I do His continuing strength in Ohio.
However, should Trump win both Florida AND Ohio, he'd still have to pick off one of the following, PA, VA, NC, in order to make a race of it. And Clinton - for now - holds good leads in all three.
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Polls are becoming harder and harder to get reliable results. Pollsters even seem to agree to this due to a number of factors. There are, however, in spite of that, a growing number of polling groups.
It has been clear that no one is going to have a run away in vote count (but electoral college might still not be too close).
I agree that given the credentials of the two candidates that it should not even be a contest. But, people are upset with the current crop of representation in Washington and Trump represents change which iis keeping things close. Unfortunately the change that Trump represents is a falsehood, but the lemmings are not caring as long as they are being promised change. It will be both an interesting election and aftermath depending out how this disaster of an election cycle works out.
Last edited by tennyson (10/26/2016 9:18 am)
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I'm looking forward to the first several days after the election to see what transpires.
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I may be more sick of polls than I am with the candidates, their surrogates, and the ridiculous number of talking head "experts" commenting on the election ad nauseum.
I can't wait for Nov. 8, 2016 to come and this election to be over.
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-"I'm looking forward to the first several days after the election to see what transpires." -flower
Me too. If Clinton wins it will be another history-making election.
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For every close poll in Florida or Ohio, there's a close poll in Georgia, Texas, or Utah.
Plus, the Real Clear Politics of the aggregate of all polls show Clinton still up 2 in Florida.
I can see Trump winning Ohio. But I think Florida will fall to Clinton. But it will be very close.
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I wonder, in the age of early voting, if the pollsters ask if someone has already voted.
I mean, if the polls move towards one candidate or another, what does the "movement" mean if votes are already cast?
Suddenly polling seems like a hard job.
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I wonder even more if the early voting polling is affecting how others are viewing this election. Are some voters deciding to stay home after hearing these polls thinking it's already determined who is the winner so why bother?