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6/01/2016 1:21 pm  #1


Getting a Bit too Poll Crazy, No?

I've noticed several topics that have been inundated with polls for this polls for that, polls, polls, polls, polls, polls, polls, polls and polls up the ying-yang.  To be honest it's becoming a little boring.  Can we give it a rest for just one week?  Geez.

I'm going to re-introduce a thread topic I entered on May 20:

I thought this was a good article and worth reading.  Evidently polling has become a media event in itself:

OVER the past few weeks, cable news networks and other media sites have trumpeted wild fluctuations and surprising results in polling on the presumed general-election matchup between Donald J. Trump and Hillary Clinton.

The Reuters/Ipsos tracking poll showed a roller-coaster ride: It went from a 13-point Clinton lead on May 4 to a tie just five days later. Six days after that, on May 15, Mrs. Clinton had a six-point edge. But an NBC/Survey Monkey poll showed a bare three-point margin for Mrs. Clinton nationally over Mr. Trump.

At the same time, Quinnipiac polls focused on key battleground swing states showed success for Mr. Trump: up by one point in Ohio, and down by only one point in Pennsylvania and Florida — shocking results in states that were expected to be much more favorable to Mrs. Clinton, and particularly striking when other surveys showed the red state of Georgia, which should be a Trump stronghold, a tossup.In this highly charged election, it’s no surprise that the news media see every poll like an addict sees a new fix. That is especially true of polls that show large and unexpected changes. Those polls get intense coverage and analysis, adding to their presumed validity.

The problem is that the polls that make the news are also the ones most likely to be wrong. And to folks like us, who know the polling game and can sort out real trends from normal perturbations, too many of this year’s polls, and their coverage, have been cringeworthy.

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/05/20/opinion/stop-the-polling-insanity.html?_r=0
 

 

 

6/01/2016 2:16 pm  #2


Re: Getting a Bit too Poll Crazy, No?

I, for one, would love to get away from the "horse race" aspect of the race with the polls, and the very unlikely weird scenarios, and discuss on what these candidates would actually do if elected.
ISIS, wage inequity, healthcare, Zika, energy policy, reproductive rights, etc.

When I vote for someone I'm going to look at things like that, not a poll.
 


We live in a time in which decent and otherwise sensible people are surrendering too easily to the hectoring of morons or extremists. 
 

6/01/2016 3:30 pm  #3


Re: Getting a Bit too Poll Crazy, No?

The recent "poll crazy" poll shows we definitely ARE by an 80 to 10 margin (there is always that pesky 10% who cannot make up their minds). The poll has a margin of error of +/- 100% 


"Do not confuse motion and progress, A rocking horse keeps moving but does not make any progress"
 
 

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