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I thought this was a good article and worth reading. Evidently polling has become a media event in itself:
OVER the past few weeks, cable news networks and other media sites have trumpeted wild fluctuations and surprising results in polling on the presumed general-election matchup between Donald J. Trump and Hillary Clinton.
The Reuters/Ipsos tracking poll showed a roller-coaster ride: It went from a 13-point Clinton lead on May 4 to a tie just five days later. Six days after that, on May 15, Mrs. Clinton had a six-point edge. But an NBC/Survey Monkey poll showed a bare three-point margin for Mrs. Clinton nationally over Mr. Trump.
At the same time, Quinnipiac polls focused on key battleground swing states showed success for Mr. Trump: up by one point in Ohio, and down by only one point in Pennsylvania and Florida — shocking results in states that were expected to be much more favorable to Mrs. Clinton, and particularly striking when other surveys showed the red state of Georgia, which should be a Trump stronghold, a tossup.In this highly charged election, it’s no surprise that the news media see every poll like an addict sees a new fix. That is especially true of polls that show large and unexpected changes. Those polls get intense coverage and analysis, adding to their presumed validity.
The problem is that the polls that make the news are also the ones most likely to be wrong. And to folks like us, who know the polling game and can sort out real trends from normal perturbations, too many of this year’s polls, and their coverage, have been cringeworthy.
Last edited by Just Fred (5/20/2016 7:27 am)
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The 24 hours news cycle is killing the news media. Endless babble.......... A great example is the plane crash!
Polls are treated like news just like twitter feeds are.
I don't see any changes for the good.
Last edited by Common Sense (5/20/2016 7:50 am)
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I agree, Common. Wouldn't be interesting to completely eliminate polls, primary results called with 2% of the votes cast, exit polling data, etc., and be held completely in the dark (and maybe surprised) when the final vote tallies are released.
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I agree. As far as polls go, they have degraded to the point of being political propaganda. The questions asked by pollsters are designed to evoke preferred answers that can then be used to support a desired point of view on an issue. Did you ever receive a call from a pollster? I have.
As far as the coverage of the Egypt Air plane crash, you are right Common. Wall-to-wall coverage by ignorant on air 'newscasters' supported by every aviation, former CIA/FBI/FAA investigators, and other 'experts' to chime in with their speculation and innuendo as to what actually happened. The bottom line is that THEY JUST DON'T KNOW. They should just shut up and wait until some facts are known instead of reporting on rumors.
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As far as polls go, they have degraded to the point of being political propaganda.
And once again, rongone nails it.
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Tune out the horse race coverage, and learn as much as you can about our problems
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The polls have been overdone, and even the candidates are starting to focus more on the polls than the issues.
Trump spent much of his campaign talking where he stood in the polls and how he was beating people. I heard Bernie the other night mention he should be the Dem nominee because he beats Trump by 5 points in a recent poll and Hillary only beats Trump by 4 points.
They need to stop talking about this (politicians and the media) and start talking about what makes them qualified to be President
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Better that the 24 hours news cycle would dig into issues and stances, BUT that is a lot of work.