I think it makes things more difficult for Trump, yes. Low sample size but in general The Donald has picked up around 30% of the votes in each primary and even if Cruz, Carson and Kasich stick around a bit longer I can see how Rubio might start picking up 40% to Trump's 30% and the rest split the remaining 30% somehow.

What happens then is anybody's guess - I think Trump has maxed out his support, he's not picking up late deciders very well at all, so after he loses a couple primaries he might cook up some wild story about how the primary has been rigged by special interests and whatnot, at which point he'll begin a third-party campaign in retribution against the Republican Party and his supporters are so rabid that they'll follow him all the way through November. That would completely derail the Republican nominee and hand the election to the Democrats. Trump gets to go on and on about how he singlehandedly imploded the Republican Party, his ratings go through the roof, and Hillary or Bernie thank their lucky stars that they never had to face him.

Last edited by opendoug (2/23/2016 1:01 pm)