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12/07/2016 8:18 am  #1


Conspiracy Theories

This is an interesting essay.I would ask folks to set aside their partisanship for a moment to try to understand the very troubling phenomena of conspiracy theories, and to think about the negative affects they have on our society.
It appears to be a growing problem. I wouldn't be troubled if the believers of conspiracy theories were all mental patients, a very small group. But, these are otherwise sane people, out in our communities. They have jobs, love their families, do good works. But, when it comes to politics they gleefully believe the craziest stuff you can imagine.


(CNN)
Fake news stories emerged with jarring force during the 2016 presidential campaign, and in a dangerous episode this weekend the potency of this deceptive new way of packaging and spreading conspiracy theories showed its continued influence.

When Washington police said Sunday night that a 28-year-old man, who allegedly walked into a local pizzeria hours earlier with an assault rifle in hand, told officers he traveled from North Carolina to conduct an informal probe of something called "pizza gate," expressions of shock and worry mixed in with knowing shrugs.

The flourishes of the conspiracy theory pursued by Edgar Maddison Welch, a bogus and convoluted tale that casts Hillary Clinton and other top Democrats as the leaders of a child sex ring, are no more or less profane than so many others bouncing around the internet's seedier corners.
'Pizzagate': Comet Ping Pong not the only D.C. business enduring a nightmare
But the work of disentangling reality from a web of distortions dressed up as fact has become a persistent struggle for large segments of the population.
"People are constantly bombarded with information from so many different sources and it isn't always easy to work out what is true and what is false, and which sources are credible and which are not," Karen Douglas, a professor of social psychology at the University of Kent in the UK told CNN.


Here's why the conspiracies are spreading:
What separates Welch and others spreading the theories online is not the craziness of their ideas, but how relatively common they are. Americans of all political stripes believe in conspiracy theories. And their most typical identifying trait, according to experts in psychology and media, is a desire to be deceived.

"Tens of millions of people believe in conspiracy theories," Dartmouth political science professor Brendan Nyhan told CNN. "There's a group of people that believe in a lot of them, but there's a much broader group that is willing to endorse them in certain cases. It's not a reflection of mental illness or pathology. It's a common thing that otherwise smart and well-informed people do."

What has changed, though, since the heyday of the John Birch Society in the 1960s, is the rate of proliferation and speed at which the dark whispers turn to public pronouncements.

"Someone like Alex Jones (of the Infowars website) can amplify the most effective conspiracy theories and spread them to a large audience," Nyhan said. "Sean Hannity, too. We've seen memes jump from the fever swamp online to Hannity and Alex Jones and even Donald Trump's Twitter feed very quickly -- people like that can harvest the conspiracy theories that they think are most interesting or entertaining or shocking."

Preying on weakness and creating the 'other'
The most prominent channels may change over the decades, but the insidious nature of the misinformation spreading these days is not fundamentally different from the lies peddled a half-century ago.

"You're giving power to people who are feeling powerless," said Bob Goldberg, a history professor at the University of Utah and director of its Tanner Humanities Center. "It's an antidote to powerlessness because giving the responsibility, pointing the finger, targeting someone gives people a sense that they know what's happening."

Conspiracy theories tend to spring from those two prominent desires -- creating a feeling of control where it doesn't exist and defining an enemy where it is absent or difficult to define.

In the former group, we find the 9/11 "truthers," who falsely maintain that the 2001 terrorist attacks on New York City and Washington were planned and executed by the US government, and the Sandy Hook "hoaxers," who believe that the December 2012 murders of 20 young students and six teachers never happened. Both forged their stories in the crucible of horrific, paradigm-shifting disasters.
Their distortions offered a reprieve to people overwhelmed by a perceived loss of control. And in targeting the victims, they have created -- at an unfathomable moral price -- a place to direct their rage.
Abbey Clements, who was working as a second grade teacher at Sandy Hook School in Newtown, Connecticut, when the shooting happened, has along with her colleagues and the victims' families been targeted by "hoaxers" with a range of goals -- some, she said, rooted in old political debates.

"Besides being bullying and hurtful, these conspiracy theories are just distractions and through all of this they are really trying to silence the victims and survivors of horrendous tragedies," Clements told CNN. "So people are not speaking out when they could be and trying to show what is really going on here, whether it's gun violence or something else."

In the case of "pizza gate," the invention offered a way for individuals with a searing dislike for Clinton and her allies to eschew any idea of reasonable disagreement -- and replace, as Goldberg said, "your enemy and create the 'other.'"

"The person that is against you is not simply wrong -- doesn't have a different opinion and they can be changed -- the person who is opposed to you is somebody who has committed treason, someone who has betrayed the country," he said. "That puts them in a different sphere -- that's somebody who needs to be punished."


Easy to believe, hard to explain
As they have played out on larger stages during the past two years, the anatomy of the conspiracy theory has become more familiar to even casual observers of media and politics. Like a virus, they come about simply and move rapidly, but can prove maddening or impossible to destroy.
"These stories are intricate and complicated -- far more so than reality or official explanations," University of Miami political science professor Joseph Uscinski told CNN. "People have a world view and when something happens, something is laid over that worldview. So when a Republican heard that (Supreme Court Justice) Antonin Scalia died, it isn't that difficult to feel that sense of loss knowing you're about to lose an institution to the other side and say, 'Obama must have killed him!'" -- even though that's false.

Just the facts?
The utility of fact-checkers in that environment can be difficult to predict. Ten years ago, Nyhan and a colleague presented a study on the effects corrected misinformation in news stories has on the people who consume them. Their findings were inconclusive and suggested that, in some cases, certain personalities would exhibit what they called a "backfire effect," and dig in deeper to their initial positions.

"Fact checking is vital but it's not always as effective as we like. It's the best response we have -- when appropriate," Nyhan told CNN. "But we should at least be circumspect about the idea that fact checking can counter the effects of misinformation especially with conspiracy theories because they're inherently unfalsifiable."

The logical tangle was on display just hours after the Sunday afternoon incident. Michael G. Flynn, the son of incoming national security adviser Lt. Gen. Mike Flynn, sought to defend the conspiracy theory with a perfectly impenetrable logical fallacy.

He tweeted: "Until #Pizzagate proven to be false, it'll remain a story."

Last edited by Goose (12/07/2016 8:24 am)


We live in a time in which decent and otherwise sensible people are surrendering too easily to the hectoring of morons or extremists. 
 

12/07/2016 8:57 am  #2


Re: Conspiracy Theories

I would like to think that there is some sort of grand solution to the rising problem of "fake news". But at the end of the day, it falls on individuals to determine on their own whether the things they are told, or see, or believe are real. 

Let me give you a real life story.

My father in law, in his late sixties and recently retired, and who in general is a pretty smart guy, was spouting off at his Labor Day party about how Obama "stole" billions of dollars from the VA and gave it to "Syrians who are moving this this country". Many guests were nodding as if to say, "Yes, I heard that too."

Me, a few beers in and one who like to call out BS, started questioning the whole story, telling him that it just didn't pass the smell test.

Congress controls the budget. President's just cant' shift money around like that. And even if Obama could do that, why would be make such a politically stupid maneuver two months before an election.

The story just didn't make sense

But he wouldn't concede.

So a few days later I do a little bit of research and of course, the whole story is made up by partisan conspiracy websites. A little more research and you can easily find the actual story.

I send my father-in-law all the stories I find that thoroughly and unequivocally disprove the myth that Obama was stealing money from veterans to give to Syrian refugees via e-mail. I was doing my patriotic duty to be truth to the people, if only through one individual. I was pushing back "fake news".

And then on Thanksgiving, after dinner, while watching the Cowboys-Redskins game, I hear from the kitchen, my father-in-law telling his step-son and his wife, "Did you know that Obama stole $2.6 billion dollars from the veterans........."

People are going to believe what they're going to believe because it fits their worldview. 


I think you're going to see a lot of different United States of America over the next three, four, or eight years. - President Donald J. Trump
 

12/07/2016 9:17 am  #3


Re: Conspiracy Theories

People are going to believe what they're going to believe because it fits their worldview. -  Lager

And that, in a nutshell, explains why conspiracy theories and fake news works.  Critical thinking skills, fact-checking, and using a scientific approach involving data collection, research, analysis, and verification before reaching a conclusion are becoming lost arts.  It's not healthy to live like that, neither for individuals or societies.

 

12/07/2016 9:24 am  #4


Re: Conspiracy Theories

By the way,NPR did a good story on this the other day. I recommend reading it......

Fake news stories can have real-life consequences. On Sunday, police said a man with a rifle who claimed to be "self-investigating" a baseless online conspiracy theory entered a Washington, D.C., pizzeria and fired the weapon inside the restaurant.

So, yes, fake news is a big problem.

These stories have gotten a lot of attention, with headlines claiming Pope Francis endorsed Donald Trump in November's election and sites like American News sharing misleading stories or taking quotes out of context. And when sites like DC Gazette share stories about people who allegedly investigated the Clinton family being found dead, the stories go viral and some people believe them. Again, these stories are not true in any way.

Stopping the proliferation of fake news isn't just the responsibility of the platforms used to spread it. Those who consume news also need to find ways of determining if what they're reading is true. We offer several tips below.

The idea is that people should have a fundamental sense of media literacy. And based on a study recently released by Stanford University researchers, many people don't.

Sam Wineburg, a professor of education and history at Stanford and the lead author of the study, said a solution is for all readers to read like fact checkers. But how do fact checkers do their job?

Alexios Mantzarlis, director of the International Fact-Checking Network at Poynter, says fact checkers have a process for each claim they deal with.

"You'll isolate a claim that has something that can be objectively verified, you will seek the best primary sources in that topic. Find whether they match or refute or prove the claim being made, and then present with all limitations the data and what the data says about the claim being made," Mantzarlis says.

That's the framework for professionals, but there are ways for everyone to do a bit of fact checking themselves.

Melissa Zimdars is an assistant professor of communication and media at Merrimack College in North Andover, Mass. When she saw her students referencing questionable sources, she created and shared a document with them of how to think about sources, as well as a list of misleading, satirical and fake sites.


Both Mantzarlis and Zimdars agreed there are a few best practices people can use when reading articles online.

Pay attention to the domain and URL

Established news organizations usually own their domains and they have a standard look that you are probably familiar with. Sites with such endings like .com.co should make you raise your eyebrows and tip you off that you need to dig around more to see if they can be trusted. This is true even when the site looks professional and has semi-recognizable logos. For example, abcnews.com is a legitimate news source, but abcnews.com.co is not, despite its similar appearance.

Read the "About Us" section

Most sites will have a lot of information about the news outlet, the company that runs it, members of leadership, and the mission and ethics statement behind an organization. The language used here is straightforward. If it's melodramatic and seems overblown, you should be skeptical. Also, you should be able to find out more information about the organization's leaders in places other than that site.

Look at the quotes in a story

Or rather, look at the lack of quotes. Most publications have multiple sources in each story who are professionals and have expertise in the fields they talk about. If it's a serious or controversial issue, there are more likely to be quotes — and lots of them. Look for professors or other academics who can speak to the research they've done. And if they are talking about research, look up those studies.

Look at who said them

Then, see who said the quotes, and what they said. Are they a reputable source with a title that you can verify through a quick Google search? Say you're looking at a story and it says President Obama said he wanted to take everyone's guns away. And then there's a quote. Obama is an official who has almost everything he says recorded and archived. There are transcripts for pretty much any address or speech he has given. Google those quotes. See what the speech was about, who he was addressing and when it happened. Even if he did an exclusive interview with a publication, that same quote will be referenced in other stories, saying he said it while talking to the original publication.

Check the comments

A lot of these fake and misleading stories are shared on social media platforms. Headlines are meant to get the reader's attention, but they're also supposed to accurately reflect what the story is about. Lately, that hasn't been the case. Headlines often will be written in exaggerated language with the intention of being misleading and then attached to stories that are about a completely different topic or just not true. These stories usually generate a lot of comments on Facebook or Twitter. If a lot of these comments call out the article for being fake or misleading, it probably is.

Reverse image search

A picture should be accurate in illustrating what the story is about. This often doesn't happen. If people who write these fake news stories don't even leave their homes or interview anyone for the stories, it's unlikely they take their own pictures. Do a little detective work and reverse search for the image on Google. You can do this by right-clicking on the image and choosing to search Google for it. If the image is appearing on a lot of stories about many different topics, there's a good chance it's not actually an image of what it says it was on the first story.

These tips are just a start at determining what type of news an article is. Zimdars outlined these and others in a guide for her students.

If you do these steps, you're helping yourself and you're helping others by not increasing the circulation of these stories.

And you won't be the only one trying to stop the spread of this false content. The company leaders behind the platforms these stories are shared on are trying to figure out how to fix the issue from their side, but they are also trying to make sure not to limit anyone's right to freedom of speech. It's a tricky position to be in, but they've said they'll try. In the end, it really does depend on taking responsibility and being an engaged consumer of news.

Here's one last thing. Satirical publications exist and serve a purpose, but are clearly labeled as exaggerated and humorous by the writers and owners. Some of the more well-known ones like The Onion and ClickHole use satire to talk about current events. If people don't understand that, they might share these articles after reading them in the literal sense.

If this happens or if you see your friends sharing blatantly fake news, be a friend and kindly tell them it's not real. Don't shy away from these conversations even if they might be uncomfortable. As said, everyone has to help fix the fake news problem.


I think you're going to see a lot of different United States of America over the next three, four, or eight years. - President Donald J. Trump
 

12/07/2016 11:21 am  #5


Re: Conspiracy Theories

As to the appeal of conspiracy theories, I think that the author of the original piece is onto something here. And I think that you could find examples of CT's from the other side too:

In the case of "pizza gate," the invention offered a way for individuals with a searing dislike for Clinton and her allies to eschew any idea of reasonable disagreement -- and replace, as Goldberg said, "your enemy and create the 'other.'"

"The person that is against you is not simply wrong -- doesn't have a different opinion and they can be changed -- the person who is opposed to you is somebody who has committed treason, someone who has betrayed the country," he said. "That puts them in a different sphere -- that's somebody who needs to be punished."



Personal story here. A local lady in the landscape design business comes over to our house to do some work for my wife. She is a Trump supporter. And that is fine. Everybody has the right to pick their candidate.
Anyway, my wife has a Hilary sign in the yard. This lady proceeds to let my wife in on an awful secret which she must know about.
Hillary Clinton is involved in child sex trafficking.
Yep. It's how the Clinton Foundation really makes it's money.

So, my wife tells me about this encounter. I go to the internets, and there is in fact a wingnut conspiracy going around saying just that.

Why would this otherwise intelligent and sane woman believe this?
Hey, there are any number of perfectly legitimate reasons why someone would decide that Hillary Clinton is NOT a candidate that they can support. Why go to Crazy town?
Well, while Clinton's support for the Iraq war, her stance about coal, her private email server are things that could disqualify her in one's eyes, they are debatable issues.
Elevate it to treason, or child sex trafficking, and you have gone beyond difference in opinion or policy and elevated it to an entirely different, non debatable level.

 

Last edited by Goose (12/07/2016 11:27 am)


We live in a time in which decent and otherwise sensible people are surrendering too easily to the hectoring of morons or extremists. 
     Thread Starter
 

12/07/2016 12:09 pm  #6


Re: Conspiracy Theories

I'm downloading and printing Lager's post #4.  I'm making copies and handing them out to everyone I know, and every social studies teacher in every school across America should do the same.

 

12/07/2016 12:20 pm  #7


Re: Conspiracy Theories

I worry that, in our hyperpartisan state, many people just crave the most intense content, factual or not. Polarization becomes reveled in, like cheering for the home team.

And, the wider problem is fake news has the effect of getting people not to believe real things.
People think, "There’s no way for me to know what is objectively true, so we’ll stick to our guns and our own evidence. We’ll ignore the facts because nobody knows what’s really true anyway.”

It's a potentially dangerous situation.

Last edited by Goose (12/07/2016 12:21 pm)


We live in a time in which decent and otherwise sensible people are surrendering too easily to the hectoring of morons or extremists. 
     Thread Starter
 

12/07/2016 1:33 pm  #8


Re: Conspiracy Theories

We now live in a P T Barnum World. 


"Do not confuse motion and progress, A rocking horse keeps moving but does not make any progress"
 
 

12/07/2016 1:43 pm  #9


Re: Conspiracy Theories

I added NPR's story to Facebook with the suggestion if you know anyone who believes everything they read on the internet please send them a copy of this report.

 

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