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1 - Brady Bunch
- Exchanger
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- Posts: 862
Iowa caucus predictions
Today is finally caucus day in Iowa. What are your predictions?
I think the Republican race we end up being pretty close at the top between Trump, Cruz and Rubio. I think Trump wins and Rubio finishes in 2nd right above Cruz.
On the Democrat side, I think Clinton takes it by about 5%.
- Common Sense
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Re: Iowa caucus predictions
Well I did not do very well with the football predictions.... but here we go.
Yesterday early they were saying the big snow storm on the way might impact voting but today it seems that the storm has slowed slightly. I think if it had arrived early it would have hurt Trump and Sanders.
Democrat- Sanders by a small amount a 1% or 2% win but it will be a BIG win for Sanders!
Republican- Trump, Cruz and Rubio a close third. If Cruz comes in third it will be a blow to his campaign.
“We hold these truths to be self-evident,” former vice president Biden said during a campaign event in Texas on Monday. "All men and women created by — you know, you know, the thing.”
- Goose
- Cogito ergo sum
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Re: Iowa caucus predictions
Trump & Clinton.
Santorum and huckabee do so poorly that they drop out later this week.
Perhaps Carson does as well
We live in a time in which decent and otherwise sensible people are surrendering too easily to the hectoring of morons or extremists.
- TheLagerLad
- Exchange Beer Snob
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Re: Iowa caucus predictions
GOP
Cruz - 28%
Trump - 27%
Rubio 15 %
Dems
Clinton - 46%
Sanders - 44%
Uncommitted - 5%
O'Malley - 4%
I think you're going to see a lot of different United States of America over the next three, four, or eight years. - President Donald J. Trump
- tennyson
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Re: Iowa caucus predictions
I predict IOWA will rake in BIG BUCKS !
I predict bookies will make a bundle on the outcome.
I predict pollsters will keep food on their plate from this fiasco.
I predict late night comics will not have to work so hard for a monologue because of it.
I predict that without it, newscasters (and pundits) would have to work to get a story.
Guess that's it ! 
"Do not confuse motion and progress, A rocking horse keeps moving but does not make any progress"
- Just Fred
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Re: Iowa caucus predictions
I'm not going to jump into this one because, as was pointed out on another post, Iowa isn't even close to be representative of the American demographic. One has to wonder just how important this thing is for that reason alone. Didn't Rick Santorum 'win' that thing one time, or am I wrong about that?
- Goose
- Cogito ergo sum
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Re: Iowa caucus predictions
Santorum won in 2012.
In 2008 it was huckabee
We live in a time in which decent and otherwise sensible people are surrendering too easily to the hectoring of morons or extremists.
- Rongone
- Sentient Being
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- Registered: 1/31/2015
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Re: Iowa caucus predictions
tennyson wrote:
I predict IOWA will rake in BIG BUCKS !
I predict bookies will make a bundle on the outcome.
I predict pollsters will keep food on their plate from this fiasco.
I predict late night comics will not have to work so hard for a monologue because of it.
I predict that without it, newscasters (and pundits) would have to work to get a story.
Guess that's it !
How true. How true.
'Winners' and 'losers' from these early primaries are pretty meaningless.
A pile of money raised and spent by politicians and billionaires with no real benefit for the average citizen.
- Just Fred
- Duke of Cortona
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Re: Iowa caucus predictions
Thanks, Goose. You proved my point.
- Common Sense
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- Posts: 3,258
Re: Iowa caucus predictions
I'm not going to jump into this one because, as was pointed out on another post, Iowa isn't even close to be representative of the American demographic. One has to wonder just how important this thing is for that reason alone. Didn't Rick Santorum 'win' that thing one time, or am I wrong about that?
If you are expected to finish 1 or 2 and you come in 4th or 5th that could be a big blow to your ability to raise money and create serious doubts going forward. On the other side if you finish much higher than predicted it can be a big boost for your campaign. So in the short term it is important. That is why so much money was spent there.
But as far as predicting who will be the next president it's not a very good predictor.
“We hold these truths to be self-evident,” former vice president Biden said during a campaign event in Texas on Monday. "All men and women created by — you know, you know, the thing.”